{"product_id":"the-black-swan-1","title":"The Black Swan","description":"The phenomenal international bestseller that shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertaintyWhat have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. 'Taleb is a bouncy and even exhilarating guide ... I came to relish what he said, and even develop a sneaking affection for him as a person' Will Self, Independent on Sunday'He leaps like some superhero of the mind' Boyd Tonkin, Independent","brand":"Penguin Books Ltd (UK)","offers":[{"title":"Default Title","offer_id":57586401608006,"sku":"9780141034591","price":16.97,"currency_code":"EUR","in_stock":true}],"thumbnail_url":"\/\/cdn.shopify.com\/s\/files\/1\/0852\/3081\/3510\/files\/a2696837cd048dc4df8a9ad8d9b56ef281b5bad0fb9ba45f68c1d639f3188fc6.jpg?v=1791882529","url":"https:\/\/www.averdo.com\/products\/the-black-swan-1","provider":"Averdo","version":"1.0","type":"link"}